>>28199599
>we know how much a Lithium-ion battery costs/kg and even with modern development it's unlikely decrease by a significant margin
wtf? EVs have barely been on the road for a decade at this point (disregarding the silly pre-tesla 30mile range, $70k hatckback compliancemobiles) and $/kwhr has already dropped precipitously.
we haven't felt this in the west, but just look at what kind of prices the chinks are selling their EVs for domestically. and again, that's NOW, barely a decade in.
between tesla and musk's newfound political influence, the chinks going all in, and the trad mfgs eventually joining in too (or dying), i can't imagine how that much investment in battery R&D and production will not result in better and, most importantly, much cheaper batteries.

and that last bit, price, is really the most important thing, because already existing EVs do have enough range.
the main problem delaying further adoption is the ability to charge at home. if you can charge at home, a new(ish) EV with 200-300 miles range and 20-30min stops for recharging on trips is more than adequate for 99.9% of the population in developed nations.

ofc, that's not to say that more range or faster charging isn't very much welcome, just that if you're not buying an EV right now, its either religious/philosophical and other /o/tism reasons(which is fine), or much more commonly, its because you can't charge at home.
if you can charge at home, its basically impossible to beat the value of a used model 3/y for a daily commuter appliance. or of the performance versions, for a 0-60 monster on the cheap. and again, that's ignoring the fact that in china, you can get a "model3 from wish.com" for 20k, brand new, which makes the comparison even more favorable, and is what you should expect going forward.

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>“By 2030, pack prices could fall to $50/kWh or less. For a large 100 kWh battery pack, replacement costs might range from $4,500 to $5,000, while…